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  • MSU Extension
  • Michigan State University Ag Bio Research
  • Project Greeen

East Lansing (MSUHort) Grape Berry Moth Predictive Model Report Assist Chart (Report issued 5/21/2013 4:08 )

This model tracks predicted percent of egglaying and predicts the start of second and third generation egglaying (810, 1620 and 2430 GDD Base 47F from the biofix of wild grape bloom, respectively). Record the date of wild grape bloom at your location to use this model.

Degree day accumulation (Base 47F, from 3/1) on 5/19/2013: 380.4

Missing temperature data for dates:
  • 2013-05-28
2013Temperature(F)Degree Days Base 47 FPrediction of 810, 1620, and 2430 GDD Base47F from biofix date (Wild Grape Bloom: 50% clusters with 50% flowers open).
DayDateMaxMinAvgTodaySince 3/15/195/205/215/225/235/245/255/265/275/285/295/305/316/16/26/36/46/56/6
Monday5/2088.664.776.630410513000000000000000000
Today's data:
2013Temperature(F)Degree Days Base 47 FBiofix Date (Prediction of 810, 1620, and 2430 GDD Base47F from biofix date (Wild Grape Bloom: 50% clusters with 50% flowers open).)
DayDateMaxMinAvgTodaySince 3/15/195/205/215/225/235/245/255/265/275/285/295/305/316/16/26/36/46/56/6
Tuesday5/21Forecast: 83Forecast: 6674.5284387957280000000000000000
Forecast data:
2013Temperature(F)Degree Days Base 47 FBiofix Date (Prediction of 810, 1620, and 2430 GDD Base47F from biofix date (Wild Grape Bloom: 50% clusters with 50% flowers open).)
DayDateMaxMinAvgTodaySince 3/15/195/205/215/225/235/245/255/265/275/285/295/305/316/16/26/36/46/56/6
Wednesday5/2277637023461102805123000000000000000
Thursday5/236151569470111896032900000000000000
Friday5/24603949.554741159464371450000000000000
Saturday5/25674053.58482123102724522138000000000000
Sunday5/26684355.594921331118254312217900000000000
Monday5/2770485912504145123946643342921120000000000
Tuesday5/28NA52NA050414512394664334292112--000000000
Directions:

Locate the Biofix Date (date of wild grape bloom) on the top row. Make a note of this date for future use. Follow that column down to determine the Base 47F Growing Degree Days (GDD) that have accumulated between the biofix date and the current date, listed at the left side of that row. Forecast data is provided (where available) to help with planning in the near-term. Depending on the level of vineyard infestation, peaks of egglaying are predicted to start at 810 and 1620 GDD from the biofix date.


MSU Grape Berry Moth oviposition and treatment model:
  • Use date of wild grape bloom (50% clusters with 50% flowers open) as biofix date.
  • Note biofix date for your vineyards.
  • Consider timing applications of insecticides with good residual activity for 810 and 1620 degree days (base 47F) from the biofix date.